Circulation: Heart Failure
○ Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)
Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Circulation: Heart Failure's content profile, based on 14 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Kim, M.; Yan, J.; Wasfy, J. H.; Aseltine, R.
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Background: Heart failure (HF) is a major contributor to inpatient hospital utilization, with persistently high 30-day readmission rates. Existing prediction tools are frequently restricted to primary-diagnosis HF admissions, potentially excluding clinically relevant HF-related hospitalizations. Objectives: To develop and validate risk prediction models using machine learning (ML)-based risk prediction models to predict 30-day readmissions among patients with HF using the Kansas Health Information Network, a statewide health information exchange. Methods: This retrospective cohort study analyzed HF hospitalizations using predictors including demographics, comorbidities, laboratory results, medications, clinical quality metrics for diabetes and kidney disease management, and prior healthcare utilization. Five ML models, including regularized logistic regression, random forest, extreme gradient boosting, categorical boosting, and deep neural network, were trained using stratified 5-fold cross-validation. Model performance was evaluated on an independent test set using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC), misclassification rate (MCR), and Brier score. Results: Among 2,734 HF patients, the 30-day readmission rate was 27%. The XGBoost model achieved the best discrimination (AUROC=0.75; AUPRC=0.58; MCR=0.21). Patients in the highest-risk decile had a positive predictive value of 76%, accounted for approximately one-third of all 30-day readmissions, and had a 3.3-fold enrichment compared with baseline risk. The key predictors included prior hospital utilization, diabetes and kidney disease management indicators, and comorbidity burden. Conclusions: Risk stratification using routinely collected clinical data identified a subgroup at elevated risk for 30-day readmission. These findings support the potential role of data-driven risk prediction to inform targeted transitional care.
wang, d.; yuan, x.; Lv, D.; wang, y.
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Background: Red cell distribution width (RDW), a readily available hematological parameter reflecting erythrocyte size heterogeneity, has been increasingly recognized as a prognostic marker in congestive heart failure (CHF), with elevated levels independently associated with adverse outcomes. However, RDW-derived composite indices-particularly the RDW-to-platelet ratio (RPR) and RDW-to-hemoglobin ratio (RHR), which integrate inflammatory, hemostatic, and oxygen-delivery pathways-remain largely unexplored in CHF populations. Whether these indices provide incremental prognostic value beyond RDW alone in critically ill patients with CHF has not been established. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 30,409 participants from the MIMIC-IV and eICU-CRD databases. Multivariable logistic regression, restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis, and subgroup analyses were employed to evaluate the associations between RDW, RDW-derived indices (RPR and RHR), and in-hospital mortality in patients with congestive heart failure. Results: Based on a pooled cohort of 30,409 patients with CHF from the MIMIC-IV and multi-center eICU-CRD databases (15,983 and 14,426, respectively), 16,295 (53.6%) were male and 14,114 were female, with a median age of 71.7 years. The mean RDW was 16.0 {+/-} 2.5, and the overall in-hospital mortality rate was 12.6%. Higher RDW quintiles were associated with progressively increased in-hospital mortality. In the fully adjusted model, RDW, RPR, and RHR were all significantly associated with increased in-hospital mortality, with adjusted odds ratios (ORs) of 2.46 (95% CI: 2.17-2.79) for RDW, 1.55 (95% CI: 1.38-1.73) for RPR, and 2.43 (95% CI: 2.09-2.82) for RHR. Sensitivity analyses using restricted cubic splines demonstrated that the association between RDW and RHR with in-hospital mortality was linear (P for nonlinearity > 0.05), whereas that for RPR exhibited a non-linear pattern (P = 0.02 for non-linearity). Conclusions. Elevated RDW, RPR, and RHR were independently associated with increased in-hospital mortality in patients with congestive heart failure. Notably, RPR exhibited a non-linear threshold association with in-hospital mortality.
Sun, J.; Park, J.; Bae, N. Y.; Lim, J.; Kwak, S.; Bak, M.; Choi, H.-M.; Park, J.-B.; Yoon, Y. E.; Lee, S. P.; Kim, Y.-J.; Cho, G.-Y.; Kim, H. K.; Hwang, I.-C.
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Background: Treatment response in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) is assessed predominantly through left ventricular (LV) functional recovery, while longitudinal changes in left atrial (LA) hemodynamic burden remain underexplored. The LA stiffness index (LASI), derived from E/e' and LA reservoir strain, integrates LV filling pressure and LA compliance. Objectives: We investigated longitudinal trajectories of LASI and their prognostic implications in HFrEF treated with angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor (ARNI)-based therapy. Methods: From the multicenter STRATS-HF-ARNI registry, 1,039 patients with HFrEF who underwent serial echocardiography at baseline and one-year follow-up were classified into four LASI trajectory patterns dichotomized at the cohort median (1.22): persistently compliant (Group A, 46.8%), reverse remodeling (B, 28.5%), progressive stiffening (C, 3.2%), and persistently stiff (D, 21.6%). Results: On multivariable Cox regression, Group D was independently associated with elevated risks of all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.68, 95% CI 1.57-4.59), cardiovascular mortality (aHR 4.36, 1.97-9.64), and HF hospitalization (aHR 3.83, 2.22-6.60), whereas Group B showed outcomes comparable to Group A. One-year LASI progression independently predicted all three outcomes. LASI elevation at one year predicted adverse outcomes even among patients with recovered LV function, and LASI trajectory classification provided incremental prognostic discrimination beyond conventional diastolic and strain parameters. Among sinus-rhythm patients (n=786), Group C exhibited the highest risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation. Conclusions: In HFrEF treated with ARNI-based therapy, LASI trajectories identify distinct prognostic phenotypes. Persistent LA stiffness confers adverse outcomes independent of LV recovery, and serial LASI assessment may enhance risk stratification beyond LV-centric metrics.
Papaz, T.; Patel, S.; Akilen, R.; Min, S.; Lesurf, R.; Rouleau, J.-L.; Ruiz, M.; Lam, C. Z.; Dragulescu, A.; Friedberg, M. K.; Mertens, L.; Tremblay-Gravel, M.; Krahn, A. D.; Tadros, R.; Mital, S.
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Diastolic heart failure (HF) in primary cardiomyopathy is under-recognized and often diagnosed late, particularly in children. While recent studies have advanced understanding of HF with preserved ejection fraction in older adults, the prevalence, outcomes and molecular drivers of diastolic HF in pediatric and young adult cardiomyopathy remain poorly defined, where disease is typically driven by primary myocardial disease rather than acquired co-morbidities. The Canadian Cardiomyopathy Collaborative (C3) was assembled to leverage three of Canadas leading pediatric and adult cardiomyopathy biobank registries. Its flagship initiative, Artificial Intelligence to Model Diastolic Heart Failure (AID-HF), aims to integrate deep phenotyping - including comprehensive diastolic function assessment - with genomics, lipidomics and proteomics and apply machine learning to identify biological and clinical signatures that drive cardiac function and outcomes in cardiomyopathy. Harmonized phenotyping and multiomics protocols across registries will create a uniquely integrated national data resource and enable the goals of AID-HF i.e., earlier diagnosis and new therapeutic targets for diastolic HF in cardiomyopathy.
Rischard, F.; PVCOMICS Study Group, ; Mendoza, M.; Insel, M.; Beck, G.; Erzurum, S.; Frantz, R. P.; Finet, J. E.; Hassoun, P.; Hemnes, A. R.; Hill, N. S.; Horn, E. M.; Leopold, J. A.; Mathai, S. C.; Mehra, R.; Reddy, Y. N. V.; Rosenzweig, E. B.; Systrom, D. M.; Tang, W. H. W.; Waxman, A.; Borlaug, B. A.
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Background World Symposium on Pulmonary Hypertension (WSPH) Group 2 pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a clinically integrated phenotype attributed to left heart disease, whereas pre- versus post-capillary classification is operationalized primarily by pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP). Although current recommendations emphasize contextual interpretation and provocative testing for intermediate PCWP values, the relationship between PCWP-based classification and underlying phenotype has not been systematically evaluated. We aim to quantify phenotype-hemodynamic discordance across the PCWP spectrum and evaluate a staged physiology-guided framework incorporating inhaled nitric oxide (iNO), ventricular geometry, and provocative testing. Methods We studied 1,032 participants from the NHLBI-sponsored PVDOMICS cohort with multidisciplinary adjudicated phenotypes integrating clinical, imaging, physiologic, and hemodynamic data. Stage-specific PCWP thresholds classified pre- versus post-capillary physiology at rest, during iNO, and during provocation (fluid challenge or invasive cardiopulmonary exercise testing [iCPET]). Echocardiographic right ventricular-to-left ventricular (RV/LV) ratio was evaluated as a marker of ventricular interdependence. Restricted cubic spline and staged concordance analyses defined certainty-based PCWP ranges and incremental diagnostic yield. Results Adjudicated Group 2 phenotype was present in 37.0% of participants. Resting PCWP demonstrated good discrimination (AUC 0.86), but substantial bidirectional phenotype-hemodynamic discordance persisted across intermediate PCWP ranges. At a resting PCWP of 12 mmHg, 25% of participants classified as pre-capillary had adjudicated Group 2 PH, whereas at 18 mmHg, 35% classified as post-capillary remained discordant non-Group 2. Concordance did not approach 90% until PCWP values were <9 mmHg or >24 mmHg. Dynamic testing incrementally improved concordance within these overlap zones. Nearly half of adjudicated Group 2 PH participants (46.5%) were not identified by resting PCWP alone; incorporation of iNO and provocative testing increased cumulative Group 2 identification by 63.4% and improved sensitivity from 79.9% to 83.7%. Model discrimination improved from an AUC of 0.863 to 0.908 (likelihood-ratio P<0.001). iNO increased PCWP in discordant Pre/G2 participants, unmasking latent left-sided limitation, while lowering PCWP in discordant Post/NonG2 participants, consistent with ventricular interdependence. RV/LV ratio [≥]0.94 reduced discordant Post/NonG2 classification by 70.5%, and incorporation of PCWP/cardiac output slope improved physiologic specificity during exercise. Conclusions Group 2 PH is a dynamic, load-dependent phenotype inadequately characterized by resting PCWP alone. Intermediate PCWP values represent continuous probabilities of bidirectional discordance rather than discrete diagnostic states. A staged physiology-guided approach integrating iNO, ventricular geometry, and provocative testing improves concordance between hemodynamic classification and clinically integrated phenotype assignment.
Russell, J. B. W.; Smith, M.; Alhassan, Y.; Coker, J. M.; Tejan, E. A.; Bharat, K.; Meena Kumari, M. K.; Mahdi, O. Z.; Lisk, D. R.
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Abstract Background: Heart Failure is a complex clinical syndrome of growing public health concern in sub-Saharan Africa, yet the data from Sierra Leone are absent. The aim of the study is to characterise the clinical profile, etiological and temporal trends of hospitalised HF patients at Choithrams Memorial Hospital (CMH), Freetown, Sierra Leone, to confirm specific management strategies. Methods: This single-center, retrospective observational cohort study analysed data on HF patients (>18years) admitted at the CMH between January 2021 to 31 December 2025. The clinical definition of HF was based on the Framingham criteria and the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guidelines , including standard echocardiographic parameters. All variables, including patients demographics, HF. phenotype, aetiology, medical history and hospital outcomes were extracted from the digital record. Non-parameteric tests, multivariable logistic regression to identify variables associated with etiology, Wilcoxon rank-sum test to compare groups and Kruskal-Wallis test to analyse trends over time were utilised. Result: A total of 765 patients were included in the study, with a median age of 53 years (IQR 42-61) and male predominance of 55.3%. Patients with recurrent HF (60.9%) were more common than those with de novo HF (39.1%), were older (54 years vs 53 years), had a higher comorbidity burden (34% vs 4%, p < 0.001), and presented with a cold-wet hemodynamic profile (18.4% vs 8.4%, p < 0.001). HFrEF (61.3%) was the most predominant phenotype, though HFpEF increased with age. Dilated Cardiomyopathy (37.0%), Hypertensive Heart Disease (31.2%) and Valvular Heart Failure (17.1%) were the leading etiologies, while ischemic heart disease (6.3%) was relatively uncommon. A majority of the patients were referred (77.9%), and 50.8% presented with NYHA IV. The strongest independent predictor for HF was hypertensive heart disease [AOR = 17.81; C.I 95%: (3.13-48.76), p <0.001]. An analysis of the trends in etiologies and demographics over the five-year period demonstrated no significant changes (all p-values > 0.05 for age, sex, aetiology, and most comorbidities). Conclusion: HF affects the younger adult population in Sierra Leone and is mainly caused by DCM and HHD. The late case presentations, the high prevalence of recurrent HF, and the associated high burden of comorbidities emphasize an urgent need to develop and implement improved strategies for the prevention, early detection, and long-term management of HF within Sierra Leone's healthcare system.
Cailes, B. C.; Huber, E.-L.; Brick, C. R.; Majumdar, A. S.; Testro, A. G.; Sinclair, M. J.; Al-Fiadh, A.; Theuerle, J. D.; Yeoh, J. K.; Yudi, M. B.; Weinberg, L.; Lancefield, T. F.; Koshy, A. N.; Farouque, O.
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Tricuspid regurgitation and pulmonary artery systolic pressure may contribute to post-operative morbidity and mortality in liver transplantation. Previous studies suggest that a high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score may influence the relationship between tricuspid regurgitation and post-operative mortality. Adult patients undergoing liver transplantation workup between 2010 and 2023 were included in this retrospective observational cohort study. Patients with significant portopulmonary hypertension were excluded. Transthoracic echocardiograms were completed pre-transplant and patients were followed up for one year post-operatively. 1031 patients (median MELD score 17, IQR 12-23) underwent transthoracic echocardiography for liver transplantation workup, of whom 708 underwent successful transplantation. Mild or greater tricuspid regurgitation did not predict 1-year mortality in the overall population (HR 1.79 (95% CI 0.78-4.11), p=0.19). Among patients with MELD scores [≥]20, mild or greater tricuspid regurgitation was a significant predictor of 1-year mortality (7 (12.7%) vs 9 (3.8%), p=0.01) (HR 3.46 (1.30-10.32), p=0.02). Tricuspid regurgitation in patients with high MELD scores was associated with a trend towards an increased risk of 30-day major adverse cardiovascular events (9 (16.4)% vs 46 (8.1%), p=0.06), driven predominantly by rates of post-operative heart failure (12.7% vs 3.8%, HR 3.66 (95%CI 1.30-10.32), p=0.01). Elevated pulmonary artery systolic pressure was associated with prolonged hospital stay (30 days (14-46) vs 15 days (11-29), p=0.01). Our study confirms that mild or greater tricuspid regurgitation is a significant predictor of 1-year mortality in patients with high MELD scores undergoing liver transplantation. Tricuspid regurgitation severity should be considered during pre-liver transplantation risk stratification.
Gottlieb, E. R.; Mullan, I. D.; Celi, L. A. A.
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Introduction Patients hospitalized with heart failure who do not speak English as their primary language face communication barriers, however the impact on documented History of Present Illness (HPI) and Review of Systems (ROS) has not been reported. Methods This retrospective cohort study was based on MIMIC-IV, an anonymized clinical database. Adult patients admitted to general medicine or cardiology services with heart failure (by DRG) were identified. Multivariable linear regression was used to assess for an association between language (English vs. non-English) and word counts for HPI+ROS and HPI word counts. Qualitative differences in texts were also analyzed using Claude Opus 4.6. Results In a cohort of 552 patients, non-English language (N = 81) was associated with a shorter HPI+ROS (coef. -33.387, 95% CI [-62.076, -4.697], p = 0.023) controlling for age (coef. -1.023, 95% CI [-1.817, -0.230], p = 0.012) and Elixhauser score (coef. 10.391, 95% CI [7.078, 13.705], p<0.001). Similar associations were found for HPI alone. Qualitative differences included less discussion of symptoms and timing of onset. Discussion HPI+ROS and HPI were more abbreviated when the primary documented language was not English. This has important implications for equitable care and the development of emerging translation and documentation technologies.
Alencar, A. P.; li, x.; Sawant, A.; Ibrahim, A.; Bashir, M.; Bandi, V.; Bhatt, K.; Jalil, A.; Chennareddy, V.
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Abstract Background Cardiogenic shock (CS) is a heterogeneous syndrome with diverse etiologies, treatment pathways, and outcomes. Prior studies of sex differences in CS have largely focused on acute myocardial infarction-related CS or evaluated CS as a single entity. Whether sex-based differences in outcomes and treatment utilization vary across distinct CS phenotypes remains incompletely defined. Methods We performed a retrospective cohort study using the National Inpatient Sample, a nationally representative all-payer database of United States hospitalizations. Adult hospitalizations with CS were identified using ICD-10-CM code R57.0 and categorized into clinically relevant phenotypes, including acute myocardial infarction (AMI), heart failure (HF), arrhythmia-related shock, myocarditis/Takotsubo, valvular disease, and other etiologies. Survey-weighted analyses accounting for the complex sampling design were used for primary analyses. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included use of mechanical circulatory support (MCS) and mechanical ventilation. Propensity score-matched analyses were performed as sensitivity analyses. Results Among 254,691 weighted CS hospitalizations, 158,747 (62.3%) occurred in men and 95,896 (37.7%) in women. In survey-weighted analyses, women had higher in-hospital mortality in AMI-related CS (36.1% versus 31.3%; OR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.19-1.28), HF-related CS (30.5% versus 25.8%; OR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.23-1.30), and arrhythmia-related CS (37.3% versus 31.6%; OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.20-1.38). Women were less likely to receive ECMO (2.4% versus 2.9%), IABP/Impella (13.1% versus 18.9%), or any MCS (14.6% versus 20.4%), but were more likely to receive mechanical ventilation (44.9% versus 42.9%). In propensity-matched analyses, mortality differences were attenuated but persisted in AMI-related, HF-related, and valvular CS. Conclusions Sex differences in CS outcomes and treatment utilization are strongly phenotype dependent. Women experienced higher mortality in major CS phenotypes while receiving less advanced mechanical circulatory support. These findings support early recognition, rapid phenotype classification, and sex-conscious but non-delayed escalation strategies for women with CS.
Daso, G.; Gupta, P.; Locascio, J. L.; Ton, V.-K.; Coglianese, E.; Drezek, K.; Wald, J. E.; Michel, E.; D'Alessandro, D. A.; Yang, B. Q.
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Cardiogenic shock (CS) is associated with high short-term mortality and the use of temporary mechanical circulatory support (tMCS) devices, especially left-sided microaxial flow pumps (Impella, Abiomed), has increased in recent years. However, few studies have investigated tMCS's effect on right ventricular-pulmonary artery (RV-PA) hemodynamics and its impact on clinical outcomes. We retrospectively analyzed all adult patients implanted with Impella 5.5 at our institution with acute myocardial infarction or acute decompensated heart failure-induced CS between 2019 to 2023. We found that Impella 5.5 led to an early improvement in RV-PA hemodynamics, even in patients with poor baseline RV function. In addition, we found that RV function itself did not predict death, post-heart transplant right ventricular-primary graft dysfunction, or post-left ventricular assist device severe RV failure. However, an increase in right atrial:pulmonary capillary wedge pressure ratio (RA/PCWP) despite tMCS support was a powerful prognosticator. Our study sheds important insight into anticipated hemodynamic changes after Impella 5.5 placement, supports the use of early tMCS even in patients with marginal RV function in the setting of left heart disease, and highlights the importance of serial assessment of RA/PCWP as a key determinant of CS outcomes.
Finn, M. T. M.; Soria Zurita, S. L.; Veldtman, G. R.
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Background. Adults with congenital heart disease (CHD) are a growing population and face unique challenges as they age. Unlike acquired diseases that disrupt a previously healthy baseline, CHD is developmentally embedded. Allostatic load, the multi-system biological "wear and tear" exacted by the continuous cost of coping, offers a framework for indexing this lifelong psychophysiological stress. Methods. We analyzed 14,469 adults from the All of Us Research Program: non-syndromic CHD (n = 6,810), acquired heart disease (AHD; n = 2,264), non-cardiac chronic illness (n = 4,331), and a general population comparison cohort (GP; n = 1,064). Using a standardized operationalization, allostatic load was scored across five biomarker domains (AL5, range 0-5). A pre-specified primary test compared adjusted AL5 between CHD and GP. Exploratory analyses examined clinical predictor of this gap and whether baseline subjective health predicted prospective AL5 change, utilizing strictly matched biomarkers across timepoints to prevent substitution artifacts. Results. Adults with CHD carried significantly higher allostatic load than the general population comparison cohort (adjusted difference +0.30 AL5 units, 95% CI 0.24-0.37, p < .001). Cumulative comorbidity and cardiac medication burden explained most of this gap. Congenital anatomical complexity did not independently predict this burden. In a prospective subsample (n = 8,031, mean follow-up 2.7 years), worse baseline mental health predicted increases in allostatic load over time in CHD. Baseline physical health showed no such prospective association. The general population and acquired heart disease cohorts demonstrated the inverse dissociation: subjective physical health predicted these longitudinal physiological changes. Conclusions. Adults with CHD carry an elevated allostatic burden dictated by the cumulative cost of acquired medical and treatment intensity. The original congenital anatomy does not predict this accumulation. Furthermore, subjective mental health prospectively tracks future increases in allostatic load in CHD. This dissociation is absent in adult-onset acquired heart disease, suggesting that the mental aspects of coping with CHD may impact outcomes above and beyond those with acquired heart disease. These findings position psychological care as a potentially physiologically consequential intervention.
Estrella, F.; Chiswell, K.; Sun, J.-L.; Duckworth, M.; Vasan, R. S.; Pattison, B.; Provencher, A.; Judd, S. E.; Velagaleti, R.; Douglas, P. S.; Bloomfield, G. S.; Soliman, E.; Chen, Y.-D. I.
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Background Myocardial remodeling precedes symptomatic heart failure, which is important to detect early. We assessed feasibility and clinical correlates of a novel integrated assessment of myocardial remodeling in a large rural cohort in the Southeastern United States. Methods Echoes were obtained with AI assistance (Caption guidance) in 3100 adults in the NHLBI-funded RURAL cohort study. Of those, 1895 had quantifiable global longitudinal strain (GLS), left ventricular mass (LVM), and left atrial volume (LAV). LV-LA Health was based on a simple count of sex-specific abnormalities (0-3), indexed to body surface area (BSA) or height (Table 1). Relationships with demographics and risk factors were compared with Spearman correlation and Mantel-Haenszel tests, with moderate and severe results combined. Results Median (IQR) age was 49 (40-58). Impaired LV-LA Health is common even in a low PREVENT cardiovascular (CV) risk population (median 10-year risk 3.3%; 25th, 75th 1.2,7.2) with preserved ejection fraction (EF; 60%; 57,62). The prevalence of abnormalities differed greatly by indexing method: 18.2% with BSA (15.1% mild; 3.1% mod/severe) vs 51% with height (38.3% mild; 12.7% mod/severe) (Figure 1). LV-LA impairment increased with age, PREVENT CV risk score and cardiovascular risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, obesity); all p<0.001. Impairment was more common in Black vs White people (p<0.001) and differed by sex only with height indexation. Conclusions A novel LV-LA health composite of routinely acquired echocardiographic measures identifies substantial subclinical cardiac remodeling in a middle-aged rural community cohort, not detected by PREVENT score or ejection fraction. This is the first application of this framework in a large, unselected community sample. Indexation method affects prevalence, with BSA likely underestimating risk in adiposity-enriched populations. Findings suggest a high rural burden and longitudinal evaluation with future CV events is ongoing.
Dai, Y.; Wang, Y.; Fan, Y.; Sun, H.; Dai, Z.; Tian, Z.; Wang, P.; Jia, H.; Zhang, L.; Han, B.
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Background: Pediatric dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is a leading cause of heart failure and transplantation, with variable prognosis and high early mortality. This study developed and validated a nomogram predicting short-term mortality risk to guide clinical decisions. Methods: The data were sourced from the Pediatric Cardiomyopathy Database at Shandong Provincial Hospital. Cox regression analysis was conducted to determine outcome-associated factors, and a nomogram was developed to estimate 1, 3, and 5year mortality risks for children with DCM. Model effectiveness was assessed through the concordance index (C-index) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Additionally, calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA) were employed to evaluate the model's predictive accuracy and clinical relevance. Results: A cohort of 106 children diagnosed with primary DCM and who underwent genetic analysis was studied, with a median diagnostic age of 10 months (ranging from 5 to 84 months), comprising 50 girls (47.2%). The rate of detecting genetic mutations was 28.3%, uncovering 14 gene variants linked to DCM, with TTN mutations being the most common. Both univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses indicated that both sex and NT-proBNP levels had a significant impact on survival rates among pediatric DCM patients.The model exhibited strong discriminative performance, calibration, and clinical net benefit, as assessed by the C-index, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Conclusions: The prediction model created in this research shows strong accuracy in forecasting survival rates at 1, 3, and 5 years for children with DCM, highlighting its significant relevance in clinical settings.
Ellegard, R.; Gul, A.; Hlebowicz, J.; Liuba, P.; Gunnarsson, C.; Weismann, C. G.
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Patients with Fontan circulation face evolving risk for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, yet the interplay between cardiac function, vascular properties, and circulating proteins is incompletely defined. We hypothesized that biochemical biomarkers and multimodal cardiovascular profile differ significantly between Fontan patients and controls, and that selected markers may serve as predictors of reduced single ventricle function. We conducted a prospective observational study at a tertiary pediatric heart center including 31 individuals with Fontan circulation and 52 matched controls. Cardiac function was assessed by echocardiography; vascular phenotyping included carotid intima-media thickness, central and peripheral blood pressure, augmentation index corrected for heart rate, carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity, aging index, and reactive hyperemia index. Compared to controls, the Fontan group had increased pulse wave reflection and central systolic pressure as well as decreased echocardiographic markers of systolic and diastolic function, while pulse wave velocity and other vascular parameters were not significantly different between the groups. Levels of 92 circulating cardiovascular biomarkers were quantified in a subset of 25 of the Fontan cohort and 81 controls using a proximity extension assay. Twenty-two biomarkers differed significantly in the Fontan group compared to controls, including FGF23, REN, HAOX1, and IL17D. Levels of several of these biomarkers correlated with patient age. Most importantly, HAOX1 (a peroxisomal oxidase linked to redox metabolism) and FGF23 (a bone-derived hormone regulating phosphate and vitamin D homeostasis) correlated negatively with ejection fraction within the Fontan group. By contrast, BNP was not associated with cardiac function in the Fontan group. None of the biomarkers correlated with central arterial parameters. In summary, central arterial hemodynamics and biomarkers such as FGF23 and HOAX1 may improve monitoring of cardiovascular function in single ventricle patients with Fontan circulation.
Caraballo, C.; Victoria-Castro, A. M.; Rali, A. S.; Hall, E. J.; Safiriyu, I.; Katz, J. N.; Gage, A.; Notarianni, A. P.; Dudzinski, D. M.; Alviar, C. L.; Tavazzi, G.; Miller, P. E.
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Background: The importance of lactate trajectory during the first day of cardiogenic shock is increasingly recognized. We aimed to assess the association between admission-day lactate trajectory and in-hospital mortality, and to identify same-day interventions predictive of lactate clearance. Methods: We analyzed adult patients admitted with cardiogenic shock between October 2015 and June 2023, using the Vizient(R) Clinical Data Base. Early lactate clearance was defined as lactate <2.5 mmol/L by the end of the admission day. We used multivariable logistic regression to assess the association between lactate change and in-hospital mortality, and to identify interventions associated with lactate clearance. Results: Among 40,434 patients with cardiogenic shock, 30.1% achieved same-day lactate normalization, which was associated with lower in-hospital mortality (aOR 0.51; 95% CI 0.48-0.54). Lactate change showed the greatest prognostic importance, with observed mortality exceeding 80% among those with lactate increase >5 mmol/L regardless of baseline values. After adjustment, lactate change showed a positive exponential relationship with mortality, with aORs ranging from 0.25 (95% CI 0.23-0.27) for a -10 mmol/L change to 3.99 (95% CI 3.58-4.40) for a +10 mmol/L change. The intervention most strongly associated with early lactate clearance was pulmonary artery catheter (PAC; aOR 1.28 [95% CI 1.19-1.37]). Conclusions: Nearly 1 in 3 patients with cardiogenic shock achieved early lactate clearance, which was associated with lower mortality. The magnitude of lactate change had profound prognostic implications regardless of the initial value. Among day 1 interventions, PAC use had the strongest association with lactate clearance.
Park, J.; Kwak, S.; Yoon, Y. E.; Park, J.-B.; Kim, J.; Jeon, J.; Jang, Y.; Lee, S.-A.; Bak, M.; Choi, H.-M.; Hwang, I.-C.; Lee, S.-P.; Kim, H.-K.; Kim, Y.-J.; Cho, G.-Y.
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Background: Echocardiographic assessment of tricuspid regurgitation (TR) remains valve-centric, and right-heart remodeling is not captured. Strain parameters carry prognostic value but are evaluated in isolation. Objectives: To develop integrated right atrial (RA) and right ventricular (RV) remodeling indices using automated echocardiography and assess their utility for TR severity grading, phenotyping, and prognostic stratification. Methods: We analyzed 8,231 patients with functional TR (mild-or-greater) from two tertiary centers (2023-2024) using an automated AI-based echocardiographic solution. The RA remodeling index (RA reservoir strain/RA volume index) and RV remodeling index (RV free wall strain/RV end-diastolic area) were derived automatically; patients were classified into four RA-RV remodeling phenotypes. The primary outcome was all-cause death or heart failure (HF) hospitalization. Results: During median follow-up of 19.3 months, the primary outcome occurred in 574 patients (7.0%). Both indices outperformed individual components for severe TR discrimination (RA: AUC 0.857 vs. 0.757; RV: 0.710 vs. 0.601; both P<0.05). After multivariate adjustment, the RA (HR per unit decrease, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.09-1.49; P=0.002) and RV remodeling indices (2.32; 1.76-3.06; P<0.001) were independently associated with the primary outcome; on mutual adjustment, only the RV index retained significance and provided incremental prognostic value ({Delta}C-index +0.010; NRI +0.237; both P<0.05). The four phenotypes showed progressively divergent risk (log-rank P<0.001), with combined remodeling (Low RA/Low RV) carrying the highest risk. Conclusions: Automated integrated RA and RV remodeling indices improved TR severity discrimination and enabled clinically meaningful right-heart phenotyping. The RV index conferred incremental prognostic value, whereas the RA index better reflected atrial-stage remodeling and disease burden.
ballegaard, s.; Gyntelberg, f.; Afzal, S. A.; Faber, J. A.; Hjalmarson, A.
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Background: People with ischemic heart disease (IHD) remain at high risk of recurrent major cardiovascular events despite contemporary therapy. Over two decades, a translational research program has evaluated pressure pain sensitivity (PPS) as a non-invasive marker of central autonomic dysfunction and a mutual risk phenotype in IHD and type 2 diabetes. A PPS-guided non-pharmacological intervention has been shown to substantially reduce five-year all-cause mortality in IHD. Methods: In a randomized controlled trial, 213 adults with stable IHD and elevated PPS, suggesting ANSD, were allocated to PPS-guided intervention (n=106) or control (n=107). The active group received three months of structured education (daily PPS self-measurement, cutaneous sensory nerve stimulation, supportive mental and physical exercises, telemedical feedback) followed by self-directed continuation. Controls received a booklet on general stress-management. The primary endpoint for this prespecified secondary analysis was a composite of eight major cardiovascular events. Results: Over 5 years, at least one major adverse cardiovascular event occurred in 19.8% of the PPS-guided group versus 43.8% of controls (odds ratio 0.32, 95% CI 0.17-0.62, P=0.0003). Incidence rates were directionally in favor of active intervention across all event categories (P=0.004). Conclusions: A brief PPS-guided non-pharmacological intervention, followed by self-directed continuation, was associated with a marked long-term reduction in major adverse cardiovascular events, complementing previously reported large reductions in all-cause mortality in the same cohort. Within the context of a multi-decade PPS research program, these findings support PPS-guided care as a low-resource autonomic intervention ready for pragmatic scale-up testing as an adjunct to cardiometabolic care.
Wang, Y.; Li, J.; An, J.; Ngo, V.; Wang, S.; Hao, Z.; Li, C.; Abo, H.; Ding, Y.; Zou, J.
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BACKGROUNDPatients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are at increased risk of cardiovascular disease, yet the mechanisms linking chronic intestinal inflammation to cardiac dysfunction remain poorly understood. IBD is characterized by profound gut microbiota dysbiosis, which we hypothesize drives systemic immune dysregulation and contributes to cardiac dysfunction. METHODSA chronic colitis mouse model was used to assess gut microbiota dysbiosis, systemic immune cell metabolism, and cardiac remodeling. Cardiac outcomes were evaluated by echocardiography, histology, and molecular analyses. Mechanisms were examined using fecal microbiota transplantation, immune cell depletion, exosome transfer, bone marrow chimeras, RNA-seq, co-immunoprecipitation, confocal microscopy, and siRNA-mediated gene silencing. RESULTSChronic DSS colitis induced cardiac dysfunction, hypertrophy, and fibrosis in mice. These changes were accompanied by sustained gut microbiota dysbiosis, metabolic reprogramming, and mitochondrial dysfunction in circulating immune cells. Fecal microbiota transfer experiments demonstrated that colitis-associated microbiota were sufficient to reprogram systemic immune cells and promote cardiac dysfunction. Immune cell depletion studies identified macrophages as key mediators of colitis-associated cardiac injury. Colitis increased systemic lipopolysaccharide (LPS) translocation, bone marrow chimera experiments demonstrated that hematopoietic TLR4 signaling was required for immune cell metabolic remodeling and cardiac dysfunction during chronic colitis. Transcriptomic analysis identified guanylate-binding protein 2b (GBP2b/GBP1, hereafter referred to as GBP1) as a key downstream effector of LPS-TLR4 signaling. Upon LPS stimulation, GBP1 localized to mitochondria, where it interacted with DRP1 and FIS1 to promote mitochondrial fission, oxidative stress, and enhanced immune cell migration into the heart. In addition, GBP1 was secreted via exosomes, which were taken up by cardiomyocytes and contributed to hypertrophic remodeling, and cardiac dysfunction. CONCLUSIONSThese findings establish the LPS-TLR4-GBP1 axis as a key driver of colitis-associated cardiovascular dysfunction and highlight this pathway as a promising therapeutic target for reducing cardiovascular risk in patients with IBD. Novelty and SignificanceO_ST_ABSWhat Is Known?C_ST_ABSO_LIPatients with inflammatory bowel disease have an increased risk of cardiovascular dysfunction that cannot be fully explained by traditional cardiovascular risk factors. C_LIO_LIGut microbiota dysbiosis and chronic innate immune activation are hallmarks of inflammatory bowel disease, but their direct contribution to cardiac remodeling remains unclear. C_LI What New Information Does This Article Contribute?O_LIChronic colitis-associated gut microbiota dysbiosis induces systemic immune cell metabolic and mitochondrial reprogramming that is sufficient to drive cardiomyocyte hypertrophy and cardiac dysfunction. C_LIO_LIHematopoietic Toll-like receptor 4 signaling links colitis associated gut microbiota to immune metabolic dysfunction and cardiac impairment, establishing a causal gut-immune-heart axis. C_LIO_LIGuanylate-binding protein 2b (GBP2b/GBP1) is identified as a critical downstream effector that promotes mitochondrial fission, oxidative stress, immune cell cardiac infiltration, and exosome-mediated cardiac remodeling. C_LI
Salama, G.; Palma, J. B.; Gabris-Weber, B.; McMahon, B.; Mauro, A. J.; St.Hilaire, C.; Cuevas, R. A.; Dschietzig, T. B. B.; Romero, G.
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AimsHeart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) afflicts millions annually and current treatments provide symptomatic relief. Here, we investigate the therapeutic potential of synthetic human Relaxin-2 (RLX) at reversing diastolic dysfunction (DD) and reducing arrhythmia vulnerability. Methods and ResultsMale ZSF1 rats were placed on a normal diet (ND, N=10 controls) or a high-fat diet (HFD, N=11), resulting in the development of DD in 11-weeks, based on serial echocardiograms (enlarged left atrium (LA), wall thickness, doppler flow: E/e). Once HFpEF was confirmed, control and HFpEF rats were randomly treated with Relaxin (400{micro}g/kg/day RLX, N=6) or the vehicle (N=5) for 2-weeks using implanted minipumps. Echocardiograms were repeated at weeks 1 and 2, then hearts were isolated, optically mapped, subjected to programmed electrical stimulation (PES) and tissues dissected for immuno-fluorescence (IF), and qPCR analysis. Circulating levels of glucose, RLX and NT-pro-ANP were measured, pre- and post-treatment. Echocardiograms indicated that RLX reversed DD by reducing LA dimensions and E/e. Optical mapping revealed that 1/3 of HFpEF hearts exhibited sustained atrial and ventricular arrhythmia which were blocked by RLX as it tended to increase conduction velocity (CV). Based on IF, RLX increased Nav1.5, Connexin-43, {beta}-catenin and Wnt1 expression. There were no significant changes in fibrosis in this HFpEF model. NT-pro-ANP was elevated in HFpEF and reduced towards control values by RLX. qPCR analysis showed that RLX decreased DKK1 and MMP1A and increased SCN5A expression compared to Vehicle treatment (N=6 and 5, respectively). ConclusionsThe ZSF1 model showed clear signs of HFpEF, including DD, enlargement of the LA, enhanced hemodynamic stress, increased vulnerability to sustained AF and VF, and elevated glucose and blood pressure. RLX treatment largely reversed DD, hemodynamic stress, and suppressed sustained arrhythmias. RLX elicited cardiac genomic changes, most likely through Wnt/canonical signaling, demonstrating RLXs potential as a therapy for HFpEF.
Challa, S.; Biddinger, K.; Abramowitz, S.; Zheng, A.; Mead, J. O.; Judy, R. L.; Jurgens, S.; Gaziano, L.; Wang, X.; Choi, S. H.; Halford, J.; Jordan, E.; Liu, J.; VA Million Veteran Program, ; Penn Medicine Biobank, ; Chang, K.-M.; Vest, A.; Tang, W. H. W.; Tsao, P.; Kinnamon, D. D.; Damrauer, S. M.; Ellinor, P. T.; Levin, M.; Hershberger, R. E.; Huffman, J. E.; Aragam, K. G.
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Importance Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is a major cause of heart failure that disproportionately affects individuals of African genetic ancestry (AFR), among whom familial clustering of disease is also more pronounced relative to those of European ancestry (EUR). However, established monogenic DCM genes, identified primarily in EUR populations, explain a smaller proportion of DCM cases in AFR populations. A recent study identified a common AFR-specific nonsense variant in CD36 that accounts for a substantial burden of DCM in AFR. How the risk and population impact of this variant compare with those of established genetic causes of DCM is unknown. Objective To compare the contribution of a CD36 nonsense variant to DCM risk with that of truncating variants in TTN and pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants in other established DCM genes. Design, Setting, and Participants Multicohort genetic association study including AFR and EUR participants with exome or genome sequence and DCM case status from four datasets: All of Us, Million Veteran Program, Penn Medicine Biobank, and the DCM Precision Medicine Study. Exposure Carrier status for TTN truncating variants, P/LP variants in 11 high confidence DCM genes, and the CD36 nonsense variant (Y325*; 0, 1, or 2 copies). Main Outcomes and Measures Odds of DCM; prevalence of risk-variant carriers among DCM cases; and population attributable fraction (PAF) for DCM. Results Among 82,623 AFR individuals across four studies, the mean age was 53.4 years and 1,625 had DCM. CD36 Y325* risk-allele homozygotes had 4.8-fold (95% CI, 3.1-7.3) increased odds of DCM, and CD36 Y325* heterozygotes had 1.4-fold (95% CI, 1.2-1.7) increased odds. TTN truncating variants also conferred elevated risk of DCM in AFR participants (OR, 8.46; 95% CI, 5.3-12.3). Among AFR DCM cases, 2.5% were CD36 homozygotes, second only to TTN truncating variants (4.3%) and exceeding all other high-confidence DCM genes combined (1.5%). In population-level analyses incorporating both heterozygous and homozygous CD36 Y325* carriers, the population-attributable fraction for CD36 (9.0%) surpassed that of TTN truncating variants (3.6%). Conclusions and Relevance An ancestry-specific CD36 variant contributes more to DCM burden in AFR ancestry than established DCM genes, including TTN truncating variants, typically considered the most common genetic cause of DCM. These findings reshape the known genetic architecture of DCM in individuals of African ancestry and highlight the importance of representation in genomic research.